Football Bet : Price of Over 3.5 in Ajax vs Union Berlin feels big

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We return to the Netherlands for our of the Day Ajax vs Union Berlin at Evens or Longer this Thursday hoping to turn things around but we are looking at rather than domestic action as a potential goal-fest is on the cards at the Johan Cruijff ArenA…

– Ajax vs Union Berlin – Thursday 16 February, 2023

  • Back over 3.5 goals in Ajax vs Union Berlin at 9/4

A lacklustre return from the winter break saw a bit of a change at Ajax as John Heitinga stepped up from the youngsters and has overseen a strong turnaround in form for the Dutch giants. 13 goals in four games since his appointment has shown a renewed vigour at the sharp end of the pitch. The Eredivisie is certainly back in play but a potential Europa League crown is also not too far fetched.

On Thursday they welcome in a Union Berlin side who are pushing Bayern Munich all the way in the Bundesliga. Since the German league got back going after their winter break, Urs Fischer has seen his side become significantly more prolific in front of goal having scored at least twice in every single game. That is quite the turnaround as previously they had used a very strong defence as the backbone of their league form.

With the respective form of both sides being top notch and their prowess in front of goal being at a high level, this has all the makings of a high-scoring, entertaining cup-tie. Neither team is expected to rotate too much as both managers will be targeting a serious run at this competition.

I like pushing the boat out here and playing the over 3.5 goals market at a decent price of 9/4. The implied probability of those odds is 30.8% and I think this game out of all the Europa League games on Thursday has the best chance of being an end-to-end classic with an abundance of goals.

*All prices correct at the time of writing.

Football Profit/Loss 2023:

Staked: 39 Points
Returns: 43.68 Points
P/L: +4.68 Points

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